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Conspiracy Theory

  • Conspiracy stories propagate like propaganda through sensationalism and simplicity not reason.
  • There is a tendency to allocate responsibility to the whole of easily identifiable bodies rather then analyse the components of responsibility.
  • Action happens as a result of a coherent ambition not necessarily planed organisation, analysis of collective motive and actions is important.


In today's world, it would seems that no catastrophic event of human origin, that proves to offer advantage to some group or organisation at the expense of others, cannot fail to find itself cocooned in the silk of numerous "conspiracy theories".

"Conspiracy theories" are perhaps part of a struggle of the common person for understanding; yet coloured as they are by a preference for simplicity and sensationalism rather then critical reasoning, they distort and inhibit the chance of discovering the real causes of  catastrophes and dealing with them.

Individuals who propagate sensational news rarely propagate with the same enthusiasm, corrections to their story when they find it to be fundamentally flawed.

Need to Investigate

We must indeed question the role of organisations in the instigation of catastrophes but recognise that their contribution may not be simple or sensational.

In the end the only option is thorough investigation and appropriate action to be taken against those that obstruct that investigation, but also explanations that do not stand scientific scrutiny must be dismissed contrary to popular opinion.

The popular tendency is to blame whole organisations or individuals because these are easily identifiable targets, but with the former we risk blaming the innocent and with the latter we risk ignoring the guilty.

Normally the guilty are a more subtle group who have not necessarily communicated in order to bring about their ends.

Granularity of Conspiracy

It has to be recognised, that a group or organisation can act in a manner that will lead to their desired outcome, without central planning or a structured hierarchy, if there is sufficient coherence of motive within the group. An ensemble of people can exist with a common aim whose action or inaction in given circumstances promotes a result.

The act of conspiring may happen at varying levels of granularity well below the level of the organisation as a whole, and as far down as the individual members.
It is a sad fact that we do not often find an arms manufacturer busy promoting diplomatic solutions, or an oil family promoting alternative energy particularly one who has invested in the arms (Mr Bush). No employee of these organisations is likely to be motivated to bring down the organisation that feeds them. They will all promote themselves and their organisations through their actions and inactions. This is not conspiracy it is simply self centred short sighted motivation which is coherent enough across the organisation to lead to an outcome. In the case of arms and oil, this outcome was the invasion of an oil rich state, Iraq, on a false pretext and as I write a pretext is being searched for to justify the invasion of a second oil rich state, Iran also.
  • The mentality is that of the second hand car salesman who believes that a sale is more important than a happy customer.
  • These are crimes but finding the guilty is hard and I fill my tank with the spoils of an illegal war every week!
  • Short sighted motivation is one thing. Those organisations that see further can transform themselves, an oil company into an energy company.


Disinformation is deliberately spread false or inaccurate information.

Where a group or organisation has played a role in instigating catastrophe then what is the best way for that group to avoid appropriate investigation and prosecution? By discrediting sources and by encouraging false or inaccurate information to swamp the real issues.

Once again a group or organisation does not need a formal structure to see to it that appropriate "conspiracy theories" are spun and leak out, ensuring that they are sensational and appropriately plausible so the common person will propagate them and accept them, while thinking individuals, will dismiss them, thus providing the perfect balance for preventing further investigation by taking away popular pressure for the real story and leaving only pressure to pursue the implausible.

Of course some "conspiracy theories" are created by ordinary people, some are the result of unplanned dis-information, but some organisations in particular the intelligence services do actively plan dis-information campaigns amongst other things.

(C)2010 Tom de Havas. The information under this section is my own work it may be reproduced without modification but must include this notice.